Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.387651 16.490730 18.810776 21.562783 24.741852 28.303319 32.601955
2025-10-26 11.192529 13.830565 16.977261 21.017468 26.082359 32.241452 40.329369
2025-11-02 9.401887 12.252905 15.847603 20.732046 27.226670 35.608102 47.313800
2025-11-09 8.149907 11.091628 14.972474 20.496775 28.207864 38.662075 54.033064
2025-11-16 7.175279 10.135800 14.196784 20.214973 28.977828 41.380483 60.458198
2025-11-23 6.357158 9.280844 13.432301 19.808928 29.450562 43.633891 66.355830
2025-11-30 6.028019 9.077952 13.552357 20.662471 31.805973 48.813912 77.144252
2025-12-07 5.611511 8.692251 13.347938 20.978908 33.337999 52.850295 86.541669
2025-12-14 5.170481 8.219058 12.953559 20.938736 34.270547 55.989982 94.769656
2025-12-21 4.754666 7.742260 12.501511 20.745768 34.907772 58.670777 102.460902
2025-12-28 4.575131 7.629414 12.618928 21.494450 37.179403 64.284938 115.840911
2026-01-04 4.369497 7.451497 12.607068 22.010685 39.081170 69.418078 128.886610
2026-01-11 4.212679 7.347413 12.717680 22.763504 41.501506 75.759520 145.005171
2026-01-18 3.855433 6.860529 12.119462 22.182084 41.414242 77.484285 152.438399
2026-01-25 3.577712 6.491496 11.697230 21.880055 41.810495 80.135459 161.968926
2026-02-01 3.334929 6.165317 11.323782 21.631054 42.274558 82.943323 172.105583
2026-02-08 3.108575 5.850712 10.944599 21.332819 42.604091 85.499228 181.975471
2026-02-15 2.886559 5.526189 10.519547 20.903118 42.619629 87.403099 190.628663
2026-02-22 2.841105 5.540179 10.747278 21.806418 45.473590 95.482307 213.880976
2026-03-01 2.733196 5.421314 10.702553 22.141330 47.150231 101.207580 232.438361
2026-03-08 2.593040 5.226156 10.488539 22.098812 47.999825 105.199497 247.393476
2026-03-15 2.447376 5.008435 10.211157 21.894577 48.468209 108.376486 260.750402
2026-03-22 2.406983 5.007144 10.382914 22.687005 51.262925 117.138030 288.894933